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The Emerging Democratic Majority [Paperback]

John B. Judis , Ruy Teixeira
3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (25 customer reviews)
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Book Description

Feb. 10 2004
Political experts John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira convincingly use hard data -- demographic, geographic, economic, and political -- to forecast the dawn of a new progressive era. In the 1960s, Kevin Phillips, battling conventional wisdom, correctly foretold the dawn of a new conservative era. His book, The Emerging Republican Majority, became an indispensable guide for all those attempting to understand political change through the 1970s and 1980s. At the beginning of the twenty-first century, with the country in Republican hands, The Emerging Democratic Majority is the indispensable guide to this era.
In five well-researched chapters and a new afterword covering the 2002 elections, Judis and Teixeira show how the most dynamic and fastest-growing areas of the country are cultivating a new wave of Democratic voters who embrace what the authors call "progressive centrism" and take umbrage at Republican demands to privatize social security, ban abortion, and cut back environmental regulations.
As the GOP continues to be dominated by neoconservatives, the religious right, and corporate influence, this is an essential volume for all those discontented with their narrow agenda -- and a clarion call for a new political order.

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From Publishers Weekly

In 1969 a prescient Kevin Phillips published The Emerging Republican Majority, predicting the rise of the conservative Republican movement. Now Judis, a senior editor at the New Republic, and Teixeira, a fellow at the Century Foundation and author of The Disappearing American Voter, argue that, if current demographic and political trends continue, a new realignment of political power is inevitable, this time sweeping Democrats to power. In support of their thesis they argue that the electorate is becoming increasingly diverse, with growing Asian, Hispanic and African-American populations-all groups that tend to vote Democratic. On the other hand, the number of white Americans, the voting population most likely to favor Republicans, remains static. Further, according to the authors, America's transition from an industrial to a postindustrial economy is also producing voters who trend strongly Democratic. Judis and Teixeira coin the word "ideopolis" for the geographic areas where the postindustrial economy thrives. They also argue that other changes, specifically the growing educated professional class and the continuing "gender gap," will benefit Democrats, whose political ideology is more consonant with the needs and beliefs of women and professionals. Judis and Teixeira predict that all these elements will converge by 2008, at the latest, when a new Democratic majority will emerge. Wisely, they warn that their predictions are just that, and that events might overtake the trends. But their warning will bring little comfort to Republicans, who will find their well-supported thesis disturbing.
Copyright 2002 Reed Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

From Library Journal

Kevin Phillip's The Emerging Republican Majority predicted the conservative revolution ushered in during the Reagan 1980s. Judis (William F. Buckley, Jr. and the Paradox of American Democracy) and Teixeira (America's Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Still Matters) present an insightful and plausible case for a resurgent Democratic majority, which he believes will ascend by the end of the decade. The majority will be centrist, rather than leftist, and will be bolstered by African Americans, Hispanic and Asian minorities, women, professional employees, and the white working and middle classes that formerly made up the "Reagan Democrats." This majority's geographic base will be the "ideopolises" large metropolitan areas linked by technology cities and suburbs. The authors conclude that despite the events of September 11, 2001, assumed to have enhanced President Bush's popularity, a Democratic majority is soon to emerge when a presidential candidate synthesizes the aforementioned groups, who share similar Democratic economic and social interests. A thoughtful and well-argued book; recommended for all public libraries. Karl Helicher, Upper Merion Twp. Lib., King of Prussia, PA
Copyright 2002 Cahners Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

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In 1969, a year after Richard Nixon won the presidency, Kevin Phillips, an aide to Attorney General John Mitchell, published a book entitled The Emerging Republican Majority. Read the first page
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Most helpful customer reviews
4.0 out of 5 stars 2004's Most Politically Useful Book... March 7 2004
The title of the book sets out its thesis pretty clearly, but what it doesn't show is the methodology the authors use in making their claim. After a roughly 30-year cycle of Republican majority (including the Republican Congress of 6 of Clinton's 8 years), Judis and Teixeira predict that we are on the cusp of a perhaps thirty year cycle of Democratic supremacy in Congress and in the White House.
To make this claim, they look at voting trends and data of the last 70 years (though they focus on the last four elections). Their argument is that with the growth of postindustrial "ideopolises" across the country (cities and suburbs that are more dependent on the creation of ideas and services than goods) and the end of the backlash against '60s liberalism, its only a matter of time (barring additional incidents like September 11th) before the Democrats reascend to their heights of the '30s to '60s.
It's a compelling argument, and their use of statistics and solid voting data helps a lot. If it's not required reading in both the Bush and Kerry camps it should be. It suffers a little for having been written before the 2002 midterms, but the new afterword written in 2003 for the paperback edition helps recitfy that. It could also use a little ethnography to go with its statistics and political science, too.
In spite of that, this book should be a must for pundits in this election cycle. Anyone with an interest in how Americans vote (if not always why they vote they way they do) should read it, too. It's vastly more useful than all the exposes, testimonials and pseudohistorical analyses that the average bookstore's "Politics" section is littered with...
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2.0 out of 5 stars fantasy of words Jan. 17 2004
i agree with at least one other reviewer in that this book, despite its recent pub date, is painfully outdated. either that, or the authors are engaging in delusional propaganda. probably the latter. this book is unashamedly biased. only problem is that some potential readers, especially the young fresh out of socialist incubation centers (colleges), might actually believe it is factual. a friend of mine recommended this to me, describing it as a primer for democratic political strategy. i found it seriously lacking if that is the standard for which it is to be measured. as a former democrat, i was/am ashamed when books like this are published. they make me yearn for the days that honorable democrats were seated in federal office. that all died with bill clinton. these two "clintonista" authors, one an editor with the socialist "new republic" (i don't want a new republic, i like the one of the founding fathers), the other a senior fellow with another leftist think tank (century foundation), do a poor job in advancing their theories. they are not reporting on a phenomena here, they are trying to CREATE reality. bottom line here is that we need at least a two party system in this country. and contrary to what these authors would have you believe, the democratic machine is broken down. the dem coalition of the poor, minorities, and "fringe" elements can no longer do the job. it is certainly time for both parties to engage in consensus building within the framework of our traditions and unique culture. the current democratic party thrives on division and hate. it prospers when sub-groups are convinced that a democrat is needed to "save" them from the evil conservative empire. typically democratic base groups are starting to see this. Read more ›
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1.0 out of 5 stars Emerging Democratic Minority Nov. 6 2003
By M. Long
Has anyone that read this book happened to notice what's happened to the Democratic party in the past few elections? They continue to lose seats in the House of Representatives, they lost a net of two seats in the US Senate, continue to lose seats in State Legislatures, and just recently lost three Governorships in California, Mississippi, and Kentucky. Do I need to even mention the field of Democratic Presidential Nomination aspirants?
The premises found in this book are based primarily on the results of the last few presidential elections, and extrapolating them with projected population growth, and Voila! just like magic you have a democratic majority. However one factor was overlooked, there is only one constant and that is change. Just look at the south and how the voting patterns changed dramatically over the past 40 years. California went Republican for several years before 1992. What this boils down to me is an academic exercise in wishful thinking, yet it does make entertaining fiction.
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5.0 out of 5 stars They can only stop us by stealing more elections. Oct. 31 2003
After decades of lies, attacks, charges of "treason," and millions of taxpayers' dollars spent to investigate nothing, the Republicans' extremism and penchant for divisive politics are catching up with them. Clinton's victories in '92 and '96 showed that their grasp of the electorate was slipping, and Gore's victory in 2000 clinched it. With the rise in immigration, women's education, and a movement to the left in social views, America is moving closer to an inevitable Democratic resurgence. Moderate and liberal Republicans might survive (though the GOP is eating them alive--see Arlen Specter and Lincoln Chafee), but the hard-right ideologues who run and dominate the party right now are headed towards disaster, no matter how many elections they steal and voters they disenfranchise.
The Gingrichites have designed their own undoing. Dubya has proven--yet again--that rigid Reagan/Hoover economics leads to disaster for the middle and lower classes (not that he cares). Republicans quite simply cannot handle an economy to save their lives, and with their current destruction of our military at the hands of Ph.D.s and CEOs like Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld, their chest-beating militarism is backfiring as well. They are not the party of "fiscal responsibility" and they are not the party for a strong "defense." Their duplicity is coming back to haunt them.
While it's good to acknowledge the emerging Democratic majority, it's still important to be vigilant and serious about bringing it about. The 2000 Florida theft and the rigging of elections in Georgia last year (which cost patriot and war hero Max Cleland his rightful senate seat to a draft-dodging millionaire lawyer) show that the GOP is willing to do ANYTHING--even undermine the democratic process--to retain power.
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Most recent customer reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Must Republicans be deceitful, even on Amazon?
Below, there is a review of this book titled "ABSOULETELY GRATE !!!!, October 16, 2003." The reviewer pretends to be Democrat, then writes a review full of spelling... Read more
Published on Nov. 11 2003 by John L. Hulsey
2.0 out of 5 stars Generally well-written, but poorly argued
A very recent Pew Center (definitely NOT conservative) study showed that for the first time sice FDR, a majority of Americans do NOT identify themselves as Democrats. Read more
Published on Nov. 8 2003
5.0 out of 5 stars ABSOULETELY GRATE !!!!
I am a life long, died in the wool Democrat and I think this book is right on par for the corse. It is a grate look at the tipe of people like me who are died in the wool... Read more
Published on Oct. 16 2003
5.0 out of 5 stars Is a New Cycle Beginning?
In "The Emerging Democratic Majority" authors John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira step into the same shoes previously worn by historians Arthur Schlesinger Jr. Read more
Published on Sept. 8 2003 by William Hare
5.0 out of 5 stars Conservatives will be beaten in 2004!
Coming at this time in the election cycle with the Bush adminstration on the defensive about their failing "regime", this book couldn't be more timely. Read more
Published on Aug. 6 2003
3.0 out of 5 stars Democrat's view
I enjoyed the premise of this book, but as a life long Democrat and political scientist, I found their argument's weak. Read more
Published on July 7 2003
4.0 out of 5 stars Factual Book on the Major Shifts in America's Two Parties
Reading this book makes one realizes that membership in either of the two main American political parties is not so static as many would have us believe. Read more
Published on June 21 2003 by Daniel O'connell
3.0 out of 5 stars Time for real change, and democrats not "Democrats"
American Politics will progress when it gets beyond the two party system. In international terms both parties are fairly similar in political orientation. Read more
Published on June 19 2003
2.0 out of 5 stars more Clinton apologists in disguise
Judis and Teixeira point have an interesting and possibly correct thesis: we are on the verge of an electoral realignment where the Democrats will have the upper hand. Read more
Published on May 23 2003
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