The Emerging Democratic Majority Paperback – Feb 10 2004
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From Publishers Weekly
In 1969 a prescient Kevin Phillips published The Emerging Republican Majority, predicting the rise of the conservative Republican movement. Now Judis, a senior editor at the New Republic, and Teixeira, a fellow at the Century Foundation and author of The Disappearing American Voter, argue that, if current demographic and political trends continue, a new realignment of political power is inevitable, this time sweeping Democrats to power. In support of their thesis they argue that the electorate is becoming increasingly diverse, with growing Asian, Hispanic and African-American populations-all groups that tend to vote Democratic. On the other hand, the number of white Americans, the voting population most likely to favor Republicans, remains static. Further, according to the authors, America's transition from an industrial to a postindustrial economy is also producing voters who trend strongly Democratic. Judis and Teixeira coin the word "ideopolis" for the geographic areas where the postindustrial economy thrives. They also argue that other changes, specifically the growing educated professional class and the continuing "gender gap," will benefit Democrats, whose political ideology is more consonant with the needs and beliefs of women and professionals. Judis and Teixeira predict that all these elements will converge by 2008, at the latest, when a new Democratic majority will emerge. Wisely, they warn that their predictions are just that, and that events might overtake the trends. But their warning will bring little comfort to Republicans, who will find their well-supported thesis disturbing.
Copyright 2002 Reed Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
From Library Journal
Kevin Phillip's The Emerging Republican Majority predicted the conservative revolution ushered in during the Reagan 1980s. Judis (William F. Buckley, Jr. and the Paradox of American Democracy) and Teixeira (America's Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Still Matters) present an insightful and plausible case for a resurgent Democratic majority, which he believes will ascend by the end of the decade. The majority will be centrist, rather than leftist, and will be bolstered by African Americans, Hispanic and Asian minorities, women, professional employees, and the white working and middle classes that formerly made up the "Reagan Democrats." This majority's geographic base will be the "ideopolises" large metropolitan areas linked by technology cities and suburbs. The authors conclude that despite the events of September 11, 2001, assumed to have enhanced President Bush's popularity, a Democratic majority is soon to emerge when a presidential candidate synthesizes the aforementioned groups, who share similar Democratic economic and social interests. A thoughtful and well-argued book; recommended for all public libraries. Karl Helicher, Upper Merion Twp. Lib., King of Prussia, PA
Copyright 2002 Cahners Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
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Top Customer Reviews
To make this claim, they look at voting trends and data of the last 70 years (though they focus on the last four elections). Their argument is that with the growth of postindustrial "ideopolises" across the country (cities and suburbs that are more dependent on the creation of ideas and services than goods) and the end of the backlash against '60s liberalism, its only a matter of time (barring additional incidents like September 11th) before the Democrats reascend to their heights of the '30s to '60s.
It's a compelling argument, and their use of statistics and solid voting data helps a lot. If it's not required reading in both the Bush and Kerry camps it should be. It suffers a little for having been written before the 2002 midterms, but the new afterword written in 2003 for the paperback edition helps recitfy that. It could also use a little ethnography to go with its statistics and political science, too.
In spite of that, this book should be a must for pundits in this election cycle. Anyone with an interest in how Americans vote (if not always why they vote they way they do) should read it, too. It's vastly more useful than all the exposes, testimonials and pseudohistorical analyses that the average bookstore's "Politics" section is littered with...
The premises found in this book are based primarily on the results of the last few presidential elections, and extrapolating them with projected population growth, and Voila! just like magic you have a democratic majority. However one factor was overlooked, there is only one constant and that is change. Just look at the south and how the voting patterns changed dramatically over the past 40 years. California went Republican for several years before 1992. What this boils down to me is an academic exercise in wishful thinking, yet it does make entertaining fiction.
The Gingrichites have designed their own undoing. Dubya has proven--yet again--that rigid Reagan/Hoover economics leads to disaster for the middle and lower classes (not that he cares). Republicans quite simply cannot handle an economy to save their lives, and with their current destruction of our military at the hands of Ph.D.s and CEOs like Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld, their chest-beating militarism is backfiring as well. They are not the party of "fiscal responsibility" and they are not the party for a strong "defense." Their duplicity is coming back to haunt them.
While it's good to acknowledge the emerging Democratic majority, it's still important to be vigilant and serious about bringing it about. The 2000 Florida theft and the rigging of elections in Georgia last year (which cost patriot and war hero Max Cleland his rightful senate seat to a draft-dodging millionaire lawyer) show that the GOP is willing to do ANYTHING--even undermine the democratic process--to retain power.Read more ›
Judis and Teixeira see America at a current crossroads in which liberals under the banner of the Democratic Party will achieve ascendancy and become the dominant force in America's two party structure. Kevin Phillips, who earlier prophesied the move toward conservatism and the Republicans in the late sixties, beginning with the election of Richard Nixon in 1968,recently indicated his belief that the pendulum is swinging back in the direction indicated by these authors.
"The Emerging Democratic Majority" breaks down the demographics of the nation in highlighting the trend the authors see developing. A major group providing the liberal cause with optimism is that of working women. The authors note that, in the 1960 election, men preferred John F. Kennedy to Richard Nixon whereas the Republican candidate was preferred by more women. The gradual change toward Democratic Party preference by women has been their strongly evolving role in numbers and importance in the workplace. At the time Kennedy defeated Nixon by a razor thin margin women were basically homemakers, reflecting more conservative views than currently reflected by females seeking to achieve opportunity and justice in the workplace.
Judis and Teixeira also see Democratic breakthroughs among minority groups.Read more ›
Most recent customer reviews
i agree with at least one other reviewer in that this book, despite its recent pub date, is painfully outdated. either that, or the authors are engaging in delusional propaganda. Read morePublished on Jan. 17 2004 by Common Sense
Below, there is a review of this book titled "ABSOULETELY GRATE !!!!, October 16, 2003." The reviewer pretends to be Democrat, then writes a review full of spelling... Read morePublished on Nov. 11 2003 by John L. Hulsey
A very recent Pew Center (definitely NOT conservative) study showed that for the first time sice FDR, a majority of Americans do NOT identify themselves as Democrats. Read morePublished on Nov. 8 2003
I am a life long, died in the wool Democrat and I think this book is right on par for the corse. It is a grate look at the tipe of people like me who are died in the wool... Read morePublished on Oct. 16 2003
Coming at this time in the election cycle with the Bush adminstration on the defensive about their failing "regime", this book couldn't be more timely. Read morePublished on Aug. 6 2003
I enjoyed the premise of this book, but as a life long Democrat and political scientist, I found their argument's weak. Read morePublished on July 7 2003
Reading this book makes one realizes that membership in either of the two main American political parties is not so static as many would have us believe. Read morePublished on June 21 2003 by Daniel O'connell
American Politics will progress when it gets beyond the two party system. In international terms both parties are fairly similar in political orientation. Read morePublished on June 19 2003
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