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The Little Book of Bull Moves, Updated and Expanded: How to Keep Your Portfolio Up When the Market Is Up, Down, or Sideways Hardcover – Aug 2 2010


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Amazon.com: 14 reviews
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful
Good long term investment advice May 15 2013
By Gderf - Published on Amazon.com
This is a much better book that 'Crash Proof 2.0' by the same author. Written in 2008 it's already a bit out of date by 2011. It's a combination of economic prognosis and investment advise, with the long term economic outlook the more valuable aspect. Investment wise, Schiff's recommendations are currently losers, probably because he neglects to provide assistance with all important timing. Schiff generally predicts that the American economy is becoming unglued and bad times are coming as our government continues to overspend and devalue the dollar, with no end in sight. It's likely worse than Schiff states. He's wrong in saying that services can't be exported. India is building a cottage industry in accounting and call service. It won't stop there as the Internet reduces the effect of distance.

The book makes a number of very prescient observations and predictions, resulting in long term investment advice. US legislators have totally lost their way on economic policy.
There is a second collapse coming. Stocks are in long term secular bear market. Stay out of cash and bonds. TIPs provide inadequate protection against inflation. Reserve currency status postpones balance decoupling. It is China that will benefit from a currency "divorce". Inflation is much worse than reported in the CPI and PPI. Schiff makes it out to be 8-10% about in line with the money dilution by printing of debt. There is a risk of hyperinflation in our future. Schiff recommends gold and silver, foreign currencies and dividend paying securities. BRICS are well for speculative accounts.
He sees 2010-20 as a decade of severe adjustment. We are no longer the land of opportunity. Strangely, Schiff sees light at the end of the tunnel, something I fail to see yet. This is good long term investment advice. However, being right too early is nearly as bad as being wrong. A small investor can be wiped out by fluctuations before a secular trend is confirmed. That's especially true of a retiree with no capacity to earn back losses. Another problem is lack of specificity so that the book is minimally useful. Schiff sees eventual recovery and economic reform, not quite fulfilling his reputation as "Dr. Gloom and Doom." The book is worth reading. Much of it is likely to prove right.
7 of 9 people found the following review helpful
Construction demand will increase over the next decade April 25 2012
By Golden Lion - Published on Amazon.com
Format: Hardcover
1. Invest in foreign companies with a. high dividend earnings b. participating in global exports c. part of an economy that is growing (China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico).

2. If foreign currency is spent in the American market place, foreign dollars compete with domestic dollars sending prices higher.

3. Foreigners bought dollars. Foreign currency is converted to dollars to buy items in the American Market. As demand increases, dollar price increases.

4. Efforts to combat recession through stimulus measures mean more money chasing a given supply of goods, inflation.

5. The dollar will decline even though interest rates will inevitability rise. A nontraditional investment approach is required, getting out of the US dollar and into commodities, precious metals, and equities in foreign countries.

6. Timing when to invest was more critical than if to invest. As the global economy dropped into recession, foreign countries spent heavily to subsidize the dollar and massive buying of the dollar occurred. The perception was the US economy was the safe haven to move money. Foreign equities values dropped off sharply, as the recession deepened.

7. We have to compare changes in nominal prices to price changes in commodities (Precious Metals, Agriculture commodities). Commodities correctly adjust to inflation. Commodity price inflation is the standard by which to measure prices.

8. Foreigners accumulate dollars. If foreigners spend their dollars to buy American companies through sovereign wealth funds then earnings streams will be diverted back to foreign owners.

9. How do foreign governments adjust their currencies? Foreign government buy dollars (Buy), invest in US treasuries (Loan), and sell their currency on the foreign exchange (Trade). Adjusting the currencies is a way to export inflation. Foreign currencies gain less value against the dollar.

10. Rising import costs occurs simultaneously as the dollar value drops, along with the standard of living in America.

11. Prices rise as the result of the fed printing money. Rising energy prices increases inflation indexes.

12. As commodity prices rise then all currencies are losing value. The dollar was losing value faster than the euro but the euro, also was losing value.

13. As more agriculture products are produced, prices should be falling.

14. True economic growth causes prices to fall. Growth means produces are cheaper, unemployment low, and output increasing.

15. A recession sheds government debt. Debt can be temporary. Shed the debt and growth will resume.

16. The Inflation rate could be 8-10 percent. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is 2-3 percent. US manufacturing exports are growing. National Debt health is measured as a percentage of GDP.

17. Productivity measures the amount of consumer goods (Output) a business is capable of producing in a given time.

18. Unemployment rates exclude long-term unemployment counts. The result is over optimistic employment views.

19. Stocks that reinvest earnings as a way to financing growth are more speculative than stocks that payout earnings in dividends.

20. Wall Street has conditioned the public to believe that long-term capital gains potential of stocks is equal to bonds. Wall Street investment banking job is to sell stocks and keep clients happy.

21. As credit dries and discretionary spending collapses, companies will either scale back on volume or cut prices to turn a profit. It would seem logical that because cost to build the product decreases that the product price would decrease, but instead, price remains the same, and production decreases. As a result, GDP declines and the economy moves towards prolonged recession.

22. Asset prices (Real Estate) will fall much further in prices in relationship to Gold than goods prices (Gold).

23. Materials, Mining, energy, and agriculture commodities will benefit from the commodity boom.

24. Oil service companies (Service - Moat) are likely to prosper benefitting from oil market and unlikely to be hit with excess profit taxes. (Baker Hughes, Schlumberger, and Halliburton) Profit from the get-go.

25. Low commodity prices cause overutilization of resources and under-investment in capacity, resulting in low supply relative to demand. (Investment opportunity)

26. As a general rule, stock prices fall as commodity prices rise.

27. Domestic producers will face significant tax increases that foreign companies will not.

28. Gold is a wealth preserver, not a wealth gainer.

29. American Depository Receipts (ADRs) are foreign stocks listed on US stock exchanges. ADRs are receipts for foreign shares held in domestic bank vaults. ADRs pay dividends, entitle voting rights, and other shareholder rights. (Issued by Sony and Toshiba)

30. Developed foreign countries to watch: Austria, Beligium, Cyprus, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain. Asia countries: Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, and Philippines.
11 of 15 people found the following review helpful
Classic Schiff (as in, that's a good thing) Nov. 27 2010
By Mastoo - Published on Amazon.com
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
Brief and not much new if you've read his previous books. There are the updates for 2010, confirming he predicted most things. I liked the 50,000 foot view of investment alternatives. The more radical statements near the end were surprising for somebody that had political hopes, but they give you a good feel for how serious he views our economic problems.
3 of 4 people found the following review helpful
Good to balance rosy optimism, not good for real understanding Dec 21 2012
By Ilia Vinogradov - Published on Amazon.com
Format: Hardcover
Another doomsayer's book. Actually, the author thrives in this doomsday business - his father started it, he just continues the tradition. There is always an audience for that and that's fine with me. We do need this kind of books to balance the other extreme - overall rosy mantra "to buy and hold". But if you really want to understand the market and the economy to make informative decisions, this one is the best for that. Look somewhere else - too one-sided approach, too much self-promotion
Great Book Oct. 3 2013
By Dana A Lester - Published on Amazon.com
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
Great book and full of useful information. I will continue to buy Peter Schiff's books because I learn so much about the economy and the way money works. These books should be standard reading material in any college classroom.


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