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The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies (New Edition)
 
 

The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies (New Edition) (Paperback)

de Bryan Caplan (Author) "What voters don't know would fill a university library ..." En savoir plus
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From Publishers Weekly

Caplan, an associate professor of economics, believes that empirical proof of voter irrationality is the key to a realistic picture of democracy and, thus, how to approach and improve it. Focusing on how voters are systematically mistaken in their grasp of economics-according to Caplan, the No. 1 area of concern among voters in most election years-he effectively refutes the "miracle" of aggregation, showing that an uninformed populace will often vote against measures that benefit the majority. Drawing extensively from the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy, Caplan discusses how rational consumers often make irrational voters, why it's in politicians' interest to foment that irrationality, what economists make of the (non) existence of systematic bias and how social science's "misguided insistence that every model be a 'story without fools,' " has led them to miss the crucial questions in politics, "where folly is central." Readers unfamiliar with economic theory and its attendant jargon may find themselves occasionally (but only momentarily) lost; otherwise the text is highly readable and Caplan's arguments are impressively original, shedding new light on an age-old political economy conundrum.
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. --Ce texte provient de la Hardcover édition.


Review

The best political book this year. -- Nicholas D. Kristof New York Times Caplan thinks that democracy as it is now practiced cannot be salvaged, and his position is based on a simple observation: 'Democracy is a commons, not a market.' -- Louis Menand The New Yorker One of the two or three best books on public choice in the last twenty years. -- Tyler Cowen Marginal Revolution Like a few recent best sellers--Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, The Wisdom of Crowds--The Myth of the Rational Voter unwraps economic theories and applies them to everyday life. Mr. Caplan's thesis, though, lacks any semblance of a compliment: The 'unwisdom of crowds' is closer to his point. He believes that the American public is biased against sensible, empirically proved economic policies about which nearly all economists agree. Voters, he says, are not just ignorant in the sense of having insufficient information. They actually hold wrong-headed and damaging beliefs about how the economy works. -- Daniel Casse The Wall Street Journal [P]rovocative. -- Elsa Dixler New York Times Book Review The Myth of the Rational Voter usefully extends the discussion [about democracy] by linking it with 'public choice' theory... Public choice theory faces a dilemma. A rational and self-interested person has no incentive to study political issues, as the chances of his or her determining the outcome are negligible. This has become known as 'rational ignorance'. Caplan maintains that the reality is much worse. He shows that voters are not just ignorant but systematically biased in favor of mistaken views. -- Samuel Brittan Financial Times Caplan is right to detect a stubborn irrationality in ordinary voters and he correctly points out to his rational choice colleagues that their models are hopelessly unrealistic. -- Martin Leet Australian Review of Public Affairs Caplan argues convincingly that irrational behaviour is pervasive among many of us today... Caplan's point, however, is that most voters are irrational. And that is worse than being ignorant... Their irrationality comes with a host of misconceptions that drive policy choices. -- Fazil Mihlar The Vancouver Sun This engaging and provocative volume describes why democracy gives us far less than its promise. Countering existing theories of rationally ignorant voters, Caplan argues persuasively that voters are irrational, registering systematically biased beliefs--and consequently votes--against markets and other sound economy policy metrics... [T]his is a compelling book, offering readers a well-written and well-argued competing theory for why democracy fails and why we should limit what is done through the political process. -- M. Steckbeck Choice [Caplan] argues that voters' own irrational biases, rather than flaws in the democratic process, compel voters to support policies that are not in their interest. While one may quibble with his specifics, the overall argument is convincing and applicable across a variety of fields...Forces the reader to take a second look at our nation's unshakable faith in the wisdom of the electorate. -- Pio Szamel Harvard Political Review A brilliant and disturbing analysis of decision making by electorates that--[Caplan] documents--are perversely ignorant and woefully misinformed. -- Neil Reynolds The Globe and Mail Scintillating... Outstanding. -- Gene Epstein Barron's Magazine Kudos to Caplan for not wanting to leave well enough alone, but he could have given democracy more credit for diffusing--to the relatively benign act of voting--irrational and reactionary human behaviour that has in the past led to violence and war. In the meantime, it certainly would not hurt for more people to learn about the law of supply and demand. -- Adam Fleisher International Affairs

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6 internautes sur 6 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile :
4.0étoiles sur 5 Caplan is fun, Nov. 27 2008
Par Johannes Edinger (Milano, Italy) - Voir tous mes commentaires
(REAL NAME)   
I don't know if the previous reviewer really understood this book. This is not a forum for a diatribe on the evils of markets and the holiness of government intervention. Caplan does NOT favor an economic autocracy, but rather a move towards markets on the spectrum of government power. The current crisis are by no means an inditement of markets, and the causes that have been pointed out seem to illustrate as much government failure as market failure. Krugman blames Greenspan, which gives the Austrians some ammunition, Caplan does not go nearly as far as most Austrians.
Caplan makes economics fun, which is important. Economic illiteracy is rampant, because many of the core concepts are counter-intuitive. A brief description of Ricardian comparative advantage will leave most people's head spinning for a few minutes... what with all the "best best and least worst" descriptions. Caplan makes a positive contribution to the understanding of the (potential) implications of economic illiteracy in a social democracy.
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2 internautes sur 8 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile :
2.0étoiles sur 5 The Myth of the Rational Economist, Nov. 7 2008
Par Too Soon Old (Rothesay, New Brunswick Canada) - Voir tous mes commentaires
(TOP 500 REVIEWER)   
Which is more foolish, voting behavior that is irrational about economic policies, or economic policies that are irrational about voting behavior? As a fairly literate reader on economic matters, I think it is the latter, but the authour of this book, a professor of economics at George Mason University, (wherever that is) definitely believes that free market economists have a much greater understanding of what is good for society, and if only the public would pay more attention to their brand of economic theory, democracy could be saved from the liberal economic biases inherent in our human nature.

To prove just why economists are so smart he devotes the first part of his book to a mathematical analysis of an opinion survey of 1510 "members of the American public and 250 economics PhDs" called the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy, SAEE. There were 37 questions as to why the economy is not doing better than it is. Strangely many of the queries in the survey are leading questions, which prompt a negative or biased response. For example: "taxes too high", "business profits too high", and "companies are sending jobs overseas". As would be expected the public's opinions differ significantly in most cases from those of the economists, so to prove that the economists opinions are more valid he takes the answers of those members of the public that mostly closely match the education and income of the economists and "voila!", the opinions match much more closely and therefore economists must be more correct in their beliefs! Of course all this only proves that different groups have different biases not that economists have greater knowledge of the truth.

Caplan is a free market fundamentalist of the first order, and although he would hotly deny this, he makes it abundantly clear with such statements as "It is logically possible that clear eyed business greed makes better decisions than confused voter altruism." Recent market events certainly have proved the inanity of this type of thinking, but I am sure that he would somehow argue that all the problems are due to the government's encouragement of homeownership. He also says that "prosperity and peace voting heavily discourages the adoption of policies with long run gains but short term costs - such as preemptive war against a rising menace." I assume by this that he thinks Bush's preemptive strike on Iraq was a brilliant master stroke of economic policy.

In a very weird example of his free market ideas he uses the illustration of how the drug trade and the black market, show that free markets work very well without government intervention. This would seem to suggest that we should adopt this type of morality when it comes to other social and economic issues. I am surprised that he did not also use the free market history of the slave trade to also make his case.

In the book he argues, that the public is irrational when it comes to economic matters. I would certainly agree with this but he then goes on to make the case that economists are the only people that have a much clearer vision of what really is better for the average person than they do themselves. It's a case of an economist "father knows best". This is probably even worse than believing that lawyers are people who can save the world.

In the 18th century David Hume observed that reason is a slave to the passions. By this he meant that reason's role is mainly limited to its utility in aiding in and responding to our emotions. We use it to protect ourselves from any threats to our self esteem. The prejudices and biases in rationalizing our beliefs are formed by the memes that we pick up from our culture and particularly from our education. Economists are certainly not immune to this process as the diversity and changes in economic opinion throughout history shows that economic models can be rationalized for any type political system you want to create.

Caplan is definitely a true believer in the free market economics of the Chicago School as espoused by Milton Friedman. He is about as right wing as you can get, and really believes that the many problems that can be seen in democratic society can be directly attributed to the fact that voters don't think like free market economists. He believes as an article of faith that if there are enough well informed traders, freely allowed to do as they please, the markets will collectively lead to the optimum outcome. Free Markets are an oracle that can lead us to a Utopian economic future. The recent collapse of the financial sector of the economy suggests then that economists were either not very well informed, or were as stupid as a bag of hammers.

Of course neither is the really the case. Economists are just as irrational in their thinking due to reasoning bias as the rest of us.

He believes that "Democracy suffers from ... the mental pollution of systematically biased beliefs". I would agree with this as it is certainly well illustrated by the Bush years in which free markets were allowed free reign resulting the economic disaster we have today. Caplan's ideas as to how to improve the operation of democracy include, reducing voter turn out (it will be less likely that the economically uninformed would be induced to vote), and allowing more educated voters (the ones that would more likely agree with his economic views) to have greater weight given to their votes. As he says, when they vote, "the rich are not trying to advance their upper class interests".

Caplan does not want to have to deal with the world as it is and instead wants to bend it to conform to his own economic ideals. Rather than democracy he seems to prefer some sort of economic autocracy. He has become a prisoner of his premise and any academic objectivity he may have had before he got converted to the Gospel of free trade has been totally lost.

Read this book if you want to learn just how weird, bizarre, and dangerous economic ideas can become. It is especially disturbing to think how he is instilling such ideas in his unsuspecting students.


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