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Nonzero: The Logic of Human Destiny [Hardcover]

Robert Wright
3.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (74 customer reviews)

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Book Description

Jan 4 2000
At the beginning of Nonzero, Robert Wright sets out to "define the arrow of the history of life, from the primordial soup to the World Wide Web." Twenty-two chapters later, after a sweeping and vivid narrative of the human past, he has succeeded — and has mounted a powerful challenge to the conventional view that evolution and human history are aimless.

Ingeniously employing game theory — the logic of "zero-sum" and "non-zero-sum" games — Wright isolates the impetus behind life's basic direction: the impetus that, via biological evolution, created complex, intelligent animals and then, via cultural evolution, pushed the human species toward deeper and vaster social complexity. In this view, the coming of today's interdependent global society was "in the cards" — not quite inevitable, perhaps, but, as Wright puts it, "so probable as to inspire wonder." So probable, indeed, as to invite speculation about higher purpose, especially in light of "the phase of history that seems to lie immediately ahead: a social, political, and even moral culmination of sorts."

In a work of vast erudition and pungent wit, Wright takes on some of the past century's most prominent thinkers, including Isaiah Berlin, Karl Popper, Stephen Jay Gould, and Richard Dawkins. He finds evidence for his position in unexpected corners, from native American hunter-gatherer societies and Polynesian chiefdoms to medieval Islamic commerce and precocious Chinese technology; from conflicts of interest among a cell's genes to discord at the World Trade Organization.

Wright argues that a coolly scientific appraisal of humanity's three-billion-year past can give new spiritual meaning to the present and even offer political guidance for the future. Nonzero will change the way people think about the human prospect.

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From Amazon

Nonzero, from New Republic writer Robert Wright, is a difficult and important book--well worth reading--addressing the controversial question of purpose in evolution. Using language suggesting that natural selection is a designer's tool, Wright inevitably draws the conclusion that evolution is goal-oriented (or at least moves toward inevitable ends independently of environmental or contingent variables).

The underlying reason that non-zero-sum games wind up being played well is the same in biological evolution as in cultural evolution. Whether you are a bunch of genes or a bunch of memes, if you're all in the same boat you'll tend to perish unless you are conducive to productive coordination.... Genetic evolution thus tends to create smoothly integrated organisms, and cultural evolution tends to create smoothly integrated groups of organisms.

Admittedly, it's as hard to think clearly about natural selection as it is to think about God, but that makes it just as important to acknowledge our biases and try to exclude them from our conclusions. It is this that makes Nonzero potentially unsatisfying to the scientifically literate. Time after time we've seen thinkers try to find in biological evolution a "drive toward complexity" that might explain all sorts of other phenomena from economics to spirituality. Some authors, like Teilhard de Chardin, have much to offer the careful reader who takes pains to read metaphorically. Others--legions of cranks--provide nothing but opaque diatribes culminating in often-bizarre assertions proven to nobody but the author. Wright is much closer to de Chardin along this axis; his anthropological scholarship is particularly noteworthy, and his grasp of world history is excellent. Unfortunately, he has the advocate's willingness to blind himself to disagreeable facts and to muddle over concepts whose clarity would be poisonous to his positions: try to pin him down on what he means by complexity, for example. Still, his thesis that human cultures are historically striving for cooperative, nonzero-sum situations is heartening and compelling; even though it's not supported by biology, it's not knocked down, either. If the reader can work around the undefined assumptions, Wright's charm and obvious interest in planetary survival make Nonzero a worthy read. If the first chapter's title--"The Ladder of Cultural Evolution"--makes you cringe, the last one--"You Call This a God?"--will make you smile. --Rob Lightner

From Publishers Weekly

Evolution meets game theory in this upbeat follow-up to Wright's much-praised The Moral Animal. Arguing against intellectual heavyweights such as Isaiah Berlin, Karl Popper and Franz Boas, Wright contends optimistically that history progresses in a predictable direction and points toward a certain end: a world of increasing human cooperation where greed and hatred have outlived their usefulness. This thesis is elaborated by way of something Wright calls "non-zero-sumness," which in game theory means a kind of win-win situation. The non-zero-sum dynamic, Wright says, is the driving force that has shaped history from the very beginnings of life, giving rise to increasing social complexity, technological innovation and, eventually, the Internet. From Polynesian chiefdoms and North America's Shoshone culture to the depths of the Mongol Empire, Wright plunders world history for evidence to show that the so-called Information Age is simply part of a long-term trend. Globalization, he points out, has been around since Assyrian traders opened for business in the second millennium B.C. Even the newfangled phenomenon of "narrowcasting" was anticipated, he claims, when the costs of print publishing dropped in the 15th century and spawned a flurry of niche-oriented publications. Occasionally, Wright's use of modish terminology can seem glib: feudal societies benefited from a "fractal" structure of nested polities, world culture has always been "fault-tolerant" and today's societies are like a "giant multicultural brain." Despite the game-theory jargon, however, this book sends an important message that, as human beings make moral progress, history, in its broadest outlines, is getting better all the time. (Feb.)
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.

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7 of 7 people found the following review helpful
3.0 out of 5 stars "Nonzero": Riddled by a Problematic Thesis Sep 20 2001
Format:Hardcover
Any promise this book shows at the outset is suddenly disintegrated in Part III, where the thesis-a truly problematic one-is finally expounded. This thesis basically boils down to a hopeful sentiment that natural selection (and social selection) are processes imbued with purpose. The most outright demonstration of the book's problematic thrust appears when the author posits the teleological nature of natural selection-a ludicrous assumption, since teleology and the process of natural selection are, by definition, diametrically opposed concepts.

We can think of natural selection as being teleological, or goal-directed, only when we think about natural selection in a traditionally wrong way-the famous exemplary question being "Why do giraffes have such long necks?" The scientifically unsound answer imbues the process of natural selection with a goal: "Giraffes have long necks IN ORDER TO better reach the staple of their diet-leaves which grow on tall trees." This explanation implies that the goal was somehow present BEFORE the attainment of the goal: teleology. It also implies that natural selection possesses the same goal as a single giraffe. But that's not how natural selection works. No matter how much a giraffe with a short neck stretches its neck out, trying to reach those high branches, its non-mutated progeny will still have short necks because that is the characteristic encoded in its DNA. The scientific answer requires no teleology: "Giraffes have long necks because long-necked giraffes (created through mutations of the DNA strand) WERE ABLE to reach the food more quickly and readily and subsequently lived longer than the short-necked ones, who died before they were able to pass on their genes." If we liken natural selection to an information processor, as the author does, then in this scenario, attainment of the goal (mutated giraffes being born with long necks and the ability to reach high leaves) happens BEFORE natural selection is "fed back" any "knowledge" of the goal (even though ALL giraffes, in some sense, may have possessed the goal).

Further complicating matters, the author uses the terms "goal" (or "direction" in some cases) and "purpose" almost synonymously, when, in fact, the two terms are more like opposites. When I reach my hand out toward the apple on the table in front of me, I may possess a goal-that of eating. Does that mean I also possess a purpose? No, the apple (to me, at least, at that moment in time) possesses the purpose-to be eaten. What "purpose" do I possess? Well, to my employer I possess the purpose of doing a particular job. Do I possess any other purpose outside of fulfilling goals of other sentient beings? Heck if I can think of one.

So, even if it were proven that the process of selection were teleological (i.e., goal-directed), that wouldn't imply that it was purposeful. And, as we have seen, the concept of natural selection, when firmly grasped, leaves no room for teleology.

It may be the case that organisms and societies tend toward greater complexity and comprise greater numbers of "non-zero-sum" interactions among their constituents. It certainly seems to be the case. But whether this effect is caused by a process which somehow possesses this effect as a goal is not proven by the author. In a sense, the author has demonstrated, fairly well, the "what", but he has fallen way short of proving the "why". Considered in its entirety, this tome approaches, at its best and worst, optimistic pseudo-science.

For a much more scientific analysis of human behavior in light of the theory of natural selection, read "How the Mind Works" by Steven Pinker. For a more scientifically informed account of social evolution, read "Guns, Germs, and Steel" by Jared Diamond.

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9 of 9 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars A great read in history and human destiny Feb 11 2004
Format:Paperback
Does humanity have a purpose? A difficult question that the author doesn't attempt to answer in this book. However, he undertakes another question that, if answered, could make answering the first question a little less difficult. Robert Wright, author of "The Moral Animal", asserts that civilization is inevitable and that cultural and biological evolutions are driven toward complexity. In other words, cultural evolution is moving forward by a force and not here only as a result of a long string of serendipitous shots of good fortune, although luck does help. A lot.

Mr. Wright identifies this force as what he calls Nonzero-sumness. Nonzero-sum is the name given in Game Theory to the interaction that leaves every party involved in a more favorable state than (or, at least, similar to) its state prior to the interaction, or what is informally known as a win-win situation. That is in contrast to zero-sum interactions where parties gain through the loss of others. A soccer match is a typical zero-sum interaction for the playing teams since the triumph of one means the loss of the other. However, the same game is a nonzero-sum interaction for the players of a team since a goal scored by a player is a goal for all players in the team.

The author says that nonzero-sumness is embedded in nature and that all forms of life and social structures are rewarded if they tap into its nonzero-sumness potential. Just as well, structures or forms that do not make use of this potential are taken over by other structures or forms that do. In addition, if nonzero-sumness is tapped into in one way, possibilities for further nonzero-sumness multiply exponentially. Complex civilization, in other words, is inevitable. Even intelligence is inevitable, albeit not necessarily in a human form.

This is a strong claim, but it doesn't go unsubstantiated. Mr. Wright spends the first and bigger part of the book analyzing history from the first appearance of hunter-gatherer societies to our day and age. He takes head-on many mysteries such as the reason why the industrial revolution appeared in Europe and nowhere else any earlier, or why did the Chinese civilization regress from complexity and expansion to isolation and decay in the fourth and fifth centuries A.D.

The first common notion that he refutes is the claim that agriculture was invented as a result of a dry up of abundant natural resources available to hunter-gatherer societies. He refutes this by proving that agriculture was invented several times throughout history, and was not necessarily an invention to elude fresh hardships. He looks thoroughly into several civilizations that started independently from scratch and found its way to complexity driven by the force of exploiting nonzero-sumness.

He also explains how some major zero-sum activities, such as wars and commercial competition, seem to drive civilization further when in fact they are either mere failed attempts or serve a wider nonzero-sum purpose.

Sounds boring? It's probably my review that is boring because the book is extremely entertaining and the arguments will leave you with a lot of thoughts to say the least. The depth of Mr. Wrights' knowledge in history is manifest throughout the book and serves his arguments extremely well.

In the second part the author attempts to prove that not only cultural evolution is driven by nonzero-sumness, but biological evolution as well. And although science doesn't seem to extend solid confirmation of Mr. Wright's arguments, it doesn't prove it erroneous either. He will extend many examples that are explained perfectly by his theory.

Things, however, begin to get a bit too controversial for my taste in the third part. Here the author pushes the notion of nonzero-sumness a bit too far. Too far to the extent of actually saying that god is nonzero-sumness, although equivocally. He also theorizes that the process of evolution (biological and cultural that is) is in fact conscious. Based on one philosophical definition of consciousness as the ability of some kind of information processing, he argues that by processing the feedback of genetic mutation and social development; evolution is self-conscious. Finally, I did not find myself agreeing with his attempt to conform the force of life to the second law of thermodynamics of entropy.

Nevertheless, this does not subtract value from the book overall but indeed adds to it. Even those claims that I did not find myself in agreement with left me with a lot to think about and helped me reshape many of my ideas and notions. And in the end, the author contemplates lightly the question that started this review, although he doesn't claim to have the answer. But as I said, the question seems a little more accessible in the light of the information provided by this book.

Another thing that I liked about this book is its accessibility. The layman reader will not have to worry about unfamiliar terms because everything is explained rather simply and difficult concepts are properly introduced into the discussion.

In conclusion, I think that this is a very good book to read if you're interested in humanity or history as it will offer the reader a lot to learn in both fields.

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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Most Thought Provoking Book Dec 9 2002
Format:Paperback
This book doesn't answer all the questions of the universe, but it's a good start. Combining evolutionary theory & history, NonZero provides an interesting philosophical perspective. I read the book almost one year ago, and it has been central to my sense of being ever since.

I've just been revisiting the reviews here, along with several others that I found elsewhere. The very strength of the reviews is testament to the power of the ideas presented in this book. The book has a decidedly liberal bias, though definitely not in a libertarian sense. To hard core evolutionary scientists, the book may seem fluffy or superficial, but my view is that "scientists" who feel that way are missing some significant points with regard to issues such as terrorism and weapons of mass destruction.

There are certainly a huge number of loose ends. But, to me, many of the loose ends are promising threads for further exploration...

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Most recent customer reviews
2.0 out of 5 stars Selectionism and directionality
Reprinted from reviewer's private reviews, Jan 2000

... Kauffman's At Home in the Universe is careful thus to distinguish his different processes. Read more

Published on April 18 2004 by John C. Landon
4.0 out of 5 stars Intriguing book
This book dicusses an intriguing thesis - that win/win scenarios (nonzero-sum cooperation) are primarily behind societal and cultural development, as opposed to win/lose (zero-sum... Read more
Published on Jan 21 2004
2.0 out of 5 stars Informal, wide ranging treatise to Heaven on Earth
This book has a clear message - that the tendency toward
organizations and groupings of people that are "non-zero-sum"
will lead us to a Heaven on Earth. Read more
Published on Dec 26 2003 by Paul Jackson
4.0 out of 5 stars Easy to digest, but filling
An excellent book for the avid ponderer. Wright takes a shotgun approach to support his argument of an inherent movement towards complexity in social and biological systems, and is... Read more
Published on Feb 7 2003 by E. Olsen
2.0 out of 5 stars Dr. Pangloss, I Presume?
Robert Wright has the odd distinction of having written one of the best non-fiction books of the past decade (The Moral Animal) and now, with Nonzero, one of the most... Read more
Published on Jan 24 2003 by Doginfollow
4.0 out of 5 stars Fun, interesting, but overreaching
I thorougly enjoyed this book. It is packed with interesting discussions about anthropology, history, and modern trends. Read more
Published on Nov 11 2002 by umze
5.0 out of 5 stars This book tells how society works
If there is anything about society that you don't understand, this book answers it. Why people think the way they do and how it is all coming together to form a modern society. Read more
Published on Oct 8 2002 by LeGrande Blount
5.0 out of 5 stars a great book - don't believe the negative reviews!
Some of the very negative reviews given here prevented me from getting to this book earlier. I am so glad i finally read it - it is the best book on the social sciences since... Read more
Published on Sep 22 2002
2.0 out of 5 stars Rational approach to irrational subject
What a pity! Robert Wright aspires to be able to prove Popper and Berlin double wrong. Not an easy job. Read more
Published on Sep 12 2002 by Igor Aksman
2.0 out of 5 stars Was there a point to the book?
Before reading, I had heard many great things about the book and seen a briliant PBS interview with Wright. Read more
Published on Aug 15 2002 by Kevin Currie-Knight
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