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The End of Growth [Hardcover]

Jeff Rubin
3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (10 customer reviews)
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Book Description

May 8 2012

Amazon.ca Editors' Pick: Best Books of 2012

In an urgent follow-up to his best-selling Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller, Jeff Rubin argues that the end of cheap oil means the end of growth. What it will be like to live in a world where growth is over?
 
Economist and resource analyst Jeff Rubin is certain that the world's governments are getting it wrong. Instead of moving us toward economic recovery, measures being taken around the globe right now are digging us into a deeper hole. Both politicians and economists are missing the fact that the real engine of economic growth has always been cheap, abundant fuel and resources. But that era is over. The end of cheap oil, Rubin argues, signals the end of growth--and the end of easy answers to renewing prosperity.
 
Rubin's own equation is clear: with China and India sucking up the lion's share of the world's ever more limited resources, the rest of us will have to make do with less. But is this all bad? Can less actually be more? Rubin points out that there is no research to show that people living in countries with hard-charging economies are happier, and plenty of research to show that some of the most contented people on the planet live in places with no-growth or slow-growth GDPs. But it doesn't matter whether it's bad or good, it's the new reality: our world is not only about to get smaller, our day-to-day lives are about to be a whole lot different.

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The End of Growth + Why Your World Is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller
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Product Description

Review

#1 NATIONAL BESTSELLER
 
“I greatly enjoyed The End of Growth. It conveys a multidimensional description of the current situation from the point of view of various global players.... The economic concepts, no matter how complex, are expressed through connections and analogies, bound to entice the readers with and without economics background alike.”
Canadian Insider Business  
 
“Rubin’s book is well worth reading, particularly for those interested in political debates over the Enbridge, Kinder Morgan, and Keystone pipelines.”
The Georgia Straight

“Provocative.”
—The Chronicle Herald
 
“Conversational.... [Rubin] raises an intriguing idea: Rising oil prices could save the planet by driving down our consumption and emissions.... Accessible.”
—The Tyee

About the Author

JEFF RUBIN is the author of Why Your World Is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller, a number one national bestseller and the Canadian Business Book of the Year. Rubin was the Chief Economist and Chief Strategist at CIBC World Markets, where he worked for over twenty years. He was one of the first economists to accurately predict soaring oil prices back in 2000 and is one of the world's most sought-after energy experts. He blogs weekly for The Globe and Mail and lives in Toronto.

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Customer Reviews

3.9 out of 5 stars
3.9 out of 5 stars
Most helpful customer reviews
29 of 31 people found the following review helpful
By Ian Robertson TOP 100 REVIEWER
Format:Hardcover
Former CIBC World Markets Chief Economist Jeff Rubin has followed up his debut bestseller 'Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller' with a solid, similarly themed book. Like most best-selling economists, Rubin weaves together facts, economic theory and his own views to tell a compelling story, though his story is quite different than others'.

Rubin begins with the basics, including a brief overview of fiscal and monetary policy, monetarists and Keynesians, and economic growth. That out of the way, he then tells us that today's economic (i.e. deficit financing and easy money) policies are counterproductive because they will lead to soaring debts and rising inflation. With apologies to Rogoff and Reinhart, this time it really is different: the end of cheap oil is behind us; economic growth will stop; and in a static economy, only one half of the debt-to-GDP ratio will be going up -- the wrong half. When growth comes to a standstill, persuading creditors to keep financing government deficits will become a hard sell. Government policies and current lifestyles predicated on economic growth fueled by cheap oil are misdirected and outdated, respectively, and will be forced to change.

Digressing from his central premise a bit, Rubin notes that in countries where another round of bailouts would mean taxpayers become de facto owners of banks, outright nationalization could be the end result. In separate asides, but surprising for a former banker, Rubin agrees that putting investment bankers on civil service salaries might actually bring about the types of reforms needed in the financial services industry, and that if financial institutions are now too big to fail, the solution seems simple: make them smaller.
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6 of 7 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Insightful but end-of-worldish June 17 2012
By Nino B
Format:Hardcover|Verified Purchase
I really enjoyed his insight and how he placed all of the macro economic factors in coming up with the causes of our current problems. The conclusion that 'high oil prices are the best way for the world to correct itself' is a little scary and I wish intelligent people (like him) would provide more advice on what to do in the short and mid terms. Certainly worth reading though.
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2.0 out of 5 stars Fear mongering July 19 2014
By Amazon Customer TOP 500 REVIEWER
Format:Hardcover|Verified Purchase
I'm a strong advocate for the environment, but I also understand that oil is key is to how we live our modern lives.

One can't help but feel pity for Mr. Rubin getting it wrong. There is no end to growth – just a slowdown. You might say, who knew where things were headed when he wrote this book back in 2012. But it's only been 2 years, and world finances have rebounded immensely; and there's lot of cheap shale oil to go around.

Maybe Mr. Rubin should try offering paths to what might happen, instead of saying it will.
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3 of 4 people found the following review helpful
Format:Hardcover|Verified Purchase
If you have an interest in energy, finance, geopolitics and you followed the news in the last 5 years, I would say that you already know about 85 % of the content of the book. What is more appealing in this book is that all facts and events are united to give an overview of the actual situation (with a possible overcome for the future).

Overall, it's worth the reading and gives perspective to a complex matter.
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4.0 out of 5 stars Excellent book to read April 25 2014
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
I enjoy reading this book. It's worth it to pay for it. I do have one issue with what the author wrote that the cause for Arab Spring is unemployment and starvation. I don't think he was right about it. US and Europe have unemployment and starvation, so why they don't have some US or Europe spring?
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