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The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders Hardcover – May 1 1992


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Product Details

  • Hardcover: 400 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley (May 1 1992)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471547387
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471547389
  • Product Dimensions: 16.1 x 3.1 x 23.9 cm
  • Shipping Weight: 703 g
  • Average Customer Review: 3.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (8 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: #902,754 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • See Complete Table of Contents

Product Description

From the Publisher

Permits traders in the futures, options and stock markets to create profitable trading formulas based on the rules of probability and modern portfolio theory. Shows how to develop and utilize key formulas which minimize losses, maximize profits and avoid excessive risk. Reintroduces the idea of ``optimal-f'' and its use in weighing and assigning values to the components of a trader's portfolio. Includes a computer program for immediate hands-on usage of techniques described.

From the Inside Flap

Until now, money management practices have been driven by a loosecollection of highly subjective rules of thumb. By failing toaccurately understand the outcomes of their potential actions, manytraders and serious investors have been operating blind. TheMathematics of Money Management injects a new degree of precisioninto your trading strategies. Based on the rules of probability andmodern portfolio theory, it shows you how to create and use thesemoney management techniques in the futures, options, and stockmarkets. And you don’t need to be a PhD to exploit thesestrategies. Every equation and formula is easy to understand, andpractical examples are provided for immediate hands-on use of thetrading techniques discussed. By wedding the precepts and practicesof modern portfolio theory to the concept of optimal f, TheMathematics of Money Management shows how to gauge the payoffs andconsequences of every potential trading action, before you take it.Armed with this information, you’ll obtain the greatestpotential investment growth for your specified level of risk, nomatter what your chosen market. You’ll use these time-testedstrategies to:
  • Evaluate the risks and rewards of any potential tradingdecision
  • Accurately weigh and assign values to the components of anyportfolio
  • Determine exactly how many contracts to trade for a specificmarket and/or system
  • Maximize profits under reinvestment trading
  • Prognosticate future system performance
Now you can bid good-bye to unreliable money management assumptionsand faulty decision making. Here’s the money management toolfor making mathematically correct trading decisions.

Inside This Book (Learn More)
First Sentence
Whenever you enter a trade, you have made two decisions: Not only have you decided whether to enter long or short, you have also decided upon the quantity to trade in. Read the first page
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Front Cover | Copyright | Table of Contents | Excerpt | Index | Back Cover
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Customer Reviews

3.2 out of 5 stars

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful By Mercenary Trader on Nov. 1 2001
Format: Hardcover
In my view trading is NOT about fancy mathematics any more than running a business is about knowing tax laws (of course, I am assuming that a basic knowledge of statistics and probability concepts is not considered 'fancy' here). Trading is about trading, you have to have a basic concept of math but you don't have to be a quant, unless you are trying your hand at some high powered form of arbitrage. Ralph Vince's theory is off in its assumptions because it overlooks the fact that controlling risk is the absolute number one priority, NOT optimization. This very topic is discussed and wrapped up nicely in a few paragraphs in Jack Schwager's interview with scientist/money manager William Eckhardt in 'New Market Wizards' (Eckhardt has a few hundred million under management; I don't know how much Vince does, if any).
I am not a math superstar, I was a literature and philosophy major in college. But even a liberal arts joker like me can see that the math element is way overdone here. The idea that money management is a mysterious and complex issue is proliferated by books like this. I can sum up effective money management in two steps: First take your worst case loss scenario, which will be based on a run of lossses with a less than one percent probability of occurring, as calculated by your expected win/loss ratio. For example, if you reasonably expect to win 40% of the time and lose 60% of the time, there is a less than 1% or "worst case" probability, that you will see ten losses in a row at some point in your trading (this may look like hard math but the calculations are actually grade school level). Next, determine your max desired drawdown. What's the biggest hit you could possibly stand? Ten percent down? Twenty five? Fifty?
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By A Customer on Aug. 6 2000
Format: Hardcover
I just read the "not for the innumerate" review on this book, and I agree. But I would like to clarify why the book disappoints. It's not that there are too many equations, but that there are too few equations and way too much jargon-laden hand waving. The hand waving, unfortunately, does not compensate for the clarity sacrificed by omitting the math. Vince's thesis that optimal f will maximize geometric returns is a valuable one, as is the concept of trading at dynamic fractional f to control risk. Unfortunately, he does not get specific enough to show us how to define and use optimal f in real life stock trading. I have an extensive math background, but I cannot get convincing quantitative results in Excel using his presentation, even after re-deriving for myself all the equations he deigns to show us. Perhaps if I had a futures trading background I would find his prose easier to follow, but I would have been much better off with the equations, in an appendix at least.
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Format: Hardcover
I would have given this book 5 stars if it was written with more examples to demonstrate the theories and formulas that it contains. The author certainly doesn't "spoon feed" his material to the reader. If you are innumerate stay away from this book. Of course, if you are innumerate stay out of trading the markets. What the author has to say regarding the correct amount of contracts or shares to buy based upon the calculation of optimal f is very important in order to keep from going broke and to receive expotential gains. It is loaded with concepts to facilitate the money mangament element of trading. I would say that a good prerequisite for reading this book would be an engineering degree something like advanced rocket science.
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Format: Hardcover
... I must have close to a 100 trading books and this one is a gem. As Elder points out in one of his books there are three legs that support successful trading: Trading Strategy, Psychology and Money Management. Optimal F which is well explained in this book is the best measure of your Risk/Reward. Knowing the optimal f of a trade allows you to compare apples and oranges. I can tell if trading a stock option with a potential return of 1000% is better than trading a stock with a potential return of 20%.
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