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Why Your World Is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller Oil & the End of Globalization [Hardcover]

Jeff Rubin
4.1 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (32 customer reviews)

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92 of 102 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Now, this is what a wake up call looks like! May 22 2009
As a student of international political economy and a retired journalist who knows how diligently those who benefit from consumption driven economic growth have tried to prevent "peak oil" from going mainstream, I cannot imagine a better introduction for the masses.

After a 20 year stint as chief economist for CIBC World Markets, Rubin is a figure in a position to know. The book is a searing indictment of the flat-earth stupidity that marks today's disciples of popular economic theory. He exposes a painfully obvious oversight: Conventional economic "wisdom", blinded by the dogmatic adherence to supply and demand thinking has overlooked one thing - MORE SUPPLY CAN'T COME ON LINE IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND IF NATURE IS LIMITING THE SUPPLY.

Theory falls when facts kick you in the teeth. We have been listening to economists when we should have been listening to petroleum geologists.

With credit to Kunstler, Heinberg and other leaders who paved the way for him, Rubin is someone the suits will take seriously, if for no other reason than he was one of them. There is a lot of shame to go around among our academic, corporate and political leaders. Whether they are malicious, myopic or in denial, this book is going to make holding their noses high at cocktail parties a much sweatier and nerve-racking affair.

In a tight, conversational style with substantial cheek, Rubin embarrasses a civilization with this book and begs them to explore rationality and begin preparing for a harsh dose of reality. The cheap energy binge party is over - we'd better get set for the hangover.

Thanks Mr. Rubin
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17 of 19 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Terrifying, Thrilling and Sobering July 9 2009
By J. Tobin Garrett TOP 1000 REVIEWER
I had high expectations for this book, and was not disappointed. Not only is Jeff Rubin an entertaining writer who knows what he is talking about, but he's also not afraid to take risks and go against some mainstream thoughts surrounding peak oil, energy efficiency, free trade, pricing carbon, spending money on failing auto industries and road infrastructure, and biofuels.

It may not be the most uplifting book, but its importance is paramount. Rubin first examines the global oil scarcity issue, and the economics of scarce oil and ever increasingly difficult and energy intensive oil production, and then he goes into issue surrounding environmental effects of oil, global trade effects, and transportation effects (which is, of course, tied with trade).

It's a frightening read at parts, but thrilling as well. Rubin has some great ideas surrounding the implementation of a carbon tariff on imported items in order to level the playing field for home companies that are dealing with carbon taxes (in B.C.) and a soon to be carbon cap and trade policy. This would give the comparative advantage back to home companies as the carbon tariff on what was once cheap imported items would increase the price on those imports if they were made using cheap, but dirty energy. Couple that with high transportation costs, and home manufacturing will look a lot more likely. Not to mention better for the environment.

The "Going Local" chapter is Rubin's speculation about the effects peak oil will have on our lifestyles here in the developed nations, looking at our food, coffee, electronics and a host of other items which are assembled globally.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Now I hope I know.. May 11 2010
By Regnal
Format:Hardcover|Verified Purchase
Absolutely brilliant!! I have found all what I was asking myself about last 30 years of world's economy, globalization, climat change and recent financial crisis. This book cannot be missed, cause it prepares you to what is going to happen in the near future due to shortage of oil. I have pretty clear picture about it now.. We will shift into another reality. Globalization caused huge damage, future generations will pay for it. It will be painful, but the end is near!
But Rubin does not spell the doom and gloom. He predicts that soon, due to rising cost of energy, oil and transportation, and due to carbon tax (to stop climate change), we will be able to buy pair of socks from the factory two streets away from where we dwell(instead from China)! So everything has its good and bad side.
This book, along the "The Upside of Down" by Thomas Homer-Dixon, is a treasure.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Jeff Rubin puts all pieces of puzzle together Oct. 12 2009
By C. Chen
All information in this book are readily available on the internet, but Jeff Rubin did a great job putting them together with explanation.

While reading his book, many arguments come to my mind casting a doubt on his theories, but I immediately find the answer to my arguments few pages later with facts and numbers backing his explanation.

As the chief economist of CIBC, Jeff definitively know what he is writing. I am surprised on how easily he explained some economics concepts/formulas using few simple examples.

This book definitively worth reading and re-reading. If you are an investor, the few money this book costs is nothing compared to potential gain from stocks.
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful
3.0 out of 5 stars Back to a future of calluses again? May 25 2011
The book's central theme is that oil is at the very foundation upon which the world economy prospers or falls. Take oil - that is cheap oil - out of the equation, and the world we know ceases to exist.

The author makes compelling arguments why the supply & demand curves do not apply where one is confronted with a diminishing resource and convincingly shows that oil really is a diminishing resource. As if that were not in itself disquieting enough, he goes on to discuss the added demand pressures from newly developing giants such as India and China as well as the `cannibalization' of significant supplies by OPEC countries through excessive internal subsidies. Jeff Rubin also demonstrates that the West, despite all its efforts in becoming more energy efficient, is actually using more oil than ever before through the rebound effect. Ethanol perhaps, or wind turbines to get us off the oil fix? The author's economic scalpel dissects and finally discards them both for good reasons.

The reader is always led back to oil, and by the time you get that far, it sounds compelling that oil is at the root of everything, from recessions to economic bubbles. Whether it is inflation or deflation, financial derivatives, Wall Street greed or lax bankers and regulators - all is attributable to oil according to Jeff Rubin. I am no economist, but that is where I think the book looses its way and the oil-theme begins to take precedence over every other economic complexity to drive home the point. Yet, almost as a footnote, the author also contradicts his theme on several occasions, not the least by conceding that inflation in the postwar years (Korean War) and later in the aftermath of the Vietnam War was primarily caused by racking up massive deficits from financing these conflicts.
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Most recent customer reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Must Read
This book looks at the world economics after Peak Oil with down-to-earth research. Better than most on this topic. Read more
Published 11 months ago by toscane
1.0 out of 5 stars What a load of garbage
I know, the sky is falling, the sky is falling. As I write this, three, count 'em, three years after this book was published, oil is languishing at $80 a barrel, and will probably... Read more
Published on June 21 2012 by Pepi
5.0 out of 5 stars A serious eye-opener
I have always suspected that sustained growth in an oil-based economy was a crazy idea. This book is of the first I have read where an economist with a compelling tale and a real... Read more
Published on June 20 2012 by RotmanStudent
1.0 out of 5 stars rubin
The author's message is that the world is running out of oil. He repeats this message in dozens of different ways and it becomes very boring.
Published on Jan. 21 2011 by iceman
3.0 out of 5 stars Borrow It and Bring a Neo-Con Closer to Home
Jeff Rubin knows his stuff. As an economist for CIBC world markets for many years, he creates a vision for our future that is based on an extraordinary amount of detail. Read more
Published on Dec 20 2010 by Oothoon13
5.0 out of 5 stars To better understand you world, and economics
As a stock market investor, I wanted to learn more about the most traded commodity. The bonus was that I is that I also got to better understand how our entire world... Read more
Published on Nov. 16 2010 by Fred
4.0 out of 5 stars Strong Argument for Peak Oil
Jeff writes a very strong argument for peak oil. The book was interesting throughout but tailed off a bit in the last quarter of the book, where some of the examples seemed a... Read more
Published on July 16 2010 by G. Hansen
4.0 out of 5 stars interesting and provocative
I found the book easy to read and the predictions soberingly realistic. The problem that I find is that the statistics on the actual available petroleum supplies--is difficult to... Read more
Published on June 9 2010 by T. Bui
4.0 out of 5 stars Why your world is about to get smaller
Easy to read, gives a very interesting and plaisable point of view on the whole oil vs. world economy situation and presents this in an easy to understand format. Read more
Published on June 3 2010 by G. Carson
5.0 out of 5 stars Great book
For any person who reads for knowledge, this book is superb. Jeff Rubin's credentials are impeccable and he draws on the research of several of his fellow workers at CIBC World... Read more
Published on May 20 2010 by D. Hansford
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