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The Art of the Long View
 
 

The Art of the Long View (Paperback)

de Peter Schwartz (Author) "This book is about freedom ..." En savoir plus
4.2étoiles sur 5  Voir tous les commentaires (37 évaluations de client)
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From AudioFile

Author and president of an international consulting firm, Peter Schwartz presents lessons in thinking for the future. Schwartz offers scenarios from the oil industry that can be applied to all aspects of life. His first-hand accounts, originally developed for Royal Dutch/Shell, are invaluable tools for creative thinking in one's personal life and in business. Schwartz's methods will enable anyone to think more creatively. These tapes offer lessons not found elsewhere. E.L.C. (c)AudioFile, Portland, Maine --Ce texte provient d'une édition qui n'est plus publiée ou qui est non diponible.


Ingram

Presenting a revolutionary approach to developing strategic vision in business and in life, a guide for managers, entrepreneurs, and investors explains how to apply creative and intuitive skills to corporate practices. Reprint.

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This book is about freedom. Lire la première page
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The Art of the Long View
97% buy the item featured on this page:
The Art of the Long View 4.2étoiles sur 5 (37)
CDN$ 16.98
Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation
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Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation 4.7étoiles sur 5 (6)
CDN$ 40.94

 

L'avis des consommateurs

37 évaluations
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4.2étoiles sur 5 (37 évaluations de client)
 
 
 
 
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Commentaires client les plus utiles

 
5.0étoiles sur 5 What a great book?, Fév 16 2004
Par Somkiat Kittanawat "zaisly" (Honolulu, HI United States) - Voir tous mes commentaires
You have to buy The Art of the Long View. I don't know how to explain how great the book is. Don't hesitate to grap one
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5.0étoiles sur 5 Open Your Brain and Reperceive the World, Fév 16 2004
Par Yudthaphon Vichianin "Hahaha" (Honolulu, HI USA) - Voir tous mes commentaires
(REAL NAME)   
This book will help you to learn the scenario planning process. At the beginning, the author presents a short but insightful example how scenario playing an important role for starting up a gardening tool company. The author also shares an "information hunting and gathering process" which tell you where to get some helpful data. Various factors influencing the futures are also discussed (including socials, politics, economic, technologies, and environment). In addition, at the end of the book, the author provides a user's guide (eight steps of how to hold a strategic conversation) and eight steps to develop scenarios which I found very useful. The book enables us to use scenario planning as a tool to deal with uncertain futures. Scenarios help us to awake and "reperceive" others possible and impossible alternative futures including both short and long term. The author also believes that a good scenario leads you to ask better questions. The point of scenario-planning is "to help us suspend our disbelieve in all the futures: to allow us to think that any on of them might place. Then, we can prepare for what we DO NOT think is going to happen." (p.195)

However, one annoying thing in this book is that the author keeps referring to chapters (e.g. look in chapter 7) but physically, there are just no chapters number indicated in the book. There are just short titles in the table of content and at the beginning of each chapter. You have to go back and forth between the TOC and chapters to to see which one is actually being referred. However, I consider this is a minor issue comparing to what you will learn from this book.

You may find this book useful if you are preparing for your strategic plans, making decisions having critical impacts to your firm or your personal life, or even you are just an ordinary reader, this book will open your mind to a new level of critical thinking and imagination about unfolding futures. Highly recommend.

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4.0étoiles sur 5 Scenario for personal life, Fév 5 2004
Par Irwansyah Irwansyah "Irwansyah" (Honolulu, HI, USA) - Voir tous mes commentaires
(REAL NAME)   
As an international student who stays in Hawaii for a while, Peter Schwartz's The Art of the Long View inspired me to make planning for my future whether in Hawaii or other places. His explanations about scenario building may be adapted to my personal life as well as in business to plan my better life in future. Moreover, as a human being, we have an innate ability to build scenarios and to forecast the future. He said that scenarios are apparatuses for helping us to acquire a long view in a great uncertainty rather than simply predicting the future. Therefore, it is possible to prepare for our future.

In real time, the eight steps of developing scenarios which he suggested in his book are used in many fields. Most websites about forecasting adopt his idea as a basic foundation to prepare alternative future with social, economic, political, and technological points of views. Although he said scenario building as "art" not "science", it may not reduce the important of scenario building to identify alternative dimensions of future by recognizing the driving forces and composing the plots.

I recommend for a beginner in particularly non-native English speaker in forecasting or in future planning reading this book as a guide. His guide is easy and simple to apply for everyone to anticipate unexpected changes.

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Commentaires client les plus récents

1.0étoiles sur 5 Out of date, meandering and biased.
This book was first published in 1991, the second edition 1996 has very little done to update the content. Read more
Publié le Oct. 31 2003 par Steven Leighton

5.0étoiles sur 5 Planning is everything, plans are nothing by themselves
The reviewer who says this is useless futurist stuff with no "real-world" basis or application has never been in planning efforts of big organizations. Read more
Publié le Oct. 23 2003 par E. D. Van Doren

1.0étoiles sur 5 "Real World" Please!
This book is not helpful for organizational change. Org change books should be written by people with "real world" experience. Read more
Publié le Juil 21 2003

5.0étoiles sur 5 Projecting Alternative Futures from the Present
As the present comes from the past, our future can be projected from the present. We can prepare for the uncertain future based on the current social, political, economical,... Read more
Publié le Fév 21 2003 par Chong Hyuck Park

5.0étoiles sur 5 Projecting Alternative Futures from the Present
As the present comes from the past, our future can be projected from the present. We can prepare for the uncertain future based on the current social, political, economical,... Read more
Publié le Fév 21 2003 par Chong Hyuck Park

5.0étoiles sur 5 The Art of the Long View Review
The Art of the Long View provides scenario planning information and implication. The author, Peter Schwartz, is a builder and user of scenarios. Read more
Publié le Fév 21 2003 par Christine C Wright

4.0étoiles sur 5 The review of "The Art of the Long View".
Review of gThe Art of Long Viewh
This book, gThe Art of Long Viewh, is a very powerful but easy to understand book that helps people who are learning about future... Read more
Publié le Fév 18 2003 par Maki Matsubayashi

4.0étoiles sur 5 How Can You Successfully See a Future Through Scenario?
In The Art of the Long View, Peter Schwartz, a president of Global Business Network, prospect the scenario that illustrates assumptions as real-life plans in the future. Read more
Publié le Fév 16 2003 par Miwa Yamazaki

4.0étoiles sur 5 Take your instinct to a higher level!
I belief that I possess a strong and reliable gut-feel or instinct. I also have a good knack for organising and quantifying information to help me in the process of decision... Read more
Publié le Juil 19 2002 par Christo

5.0étoiles sur 5 Liberate your insights!
In "The Art of the Long View," Peter Schwartz, one of the world leading futurists introduces the concepts of scenario planning. Read more
Publié le Fév 22 2002 par Sophea Chea

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