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3.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (84 customer reviews)

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First Sentence
WITH THE DOW ROARING from under 4000 in late 1994 to near 9000 recently, most people can't imagine a brighter investment picture. Read the first page
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Front Cover | Copyright | Table of Contents | Excerpt | Index | Back Cover
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Customer Reviews

Most helpful customer reviews
How this guy ever got published is a lesson in itself!
I read this book back in 2000 before the crash and agreed with
some of his reasoning as to the mechanics and ideas which would be implemented in the New Millenium, but disagreed with his
belief that there would be such great prosperity,as history ALWAYS repeats itself.
But alas, no one wants a pessimist. Then he came out with the "Roaring 2000's Investor", which again was creative and showed brilliance, but proved to by flawed on many levels. Now he has another book slated to come out
"The Greatest Bull Market in History: 2003-2008: Investment, Business and Life Strategies - For the Great Boom Ahead and the Great Bust to Follow"
If his past predictions are any indication, this title itself is already filled with hindsight and error. I can tell you there will be no sustainable bull market on any of the indexes for at least the next decade.
I must admit I would like to speak with this guy. With a few real life experiences under his belt he may really hit the target, but so far the best title for a book would be "The Roaring 2000's: How to prosper by making the best seller list by publishing books that make people believe you have the answers."
Lession #1: Don't put dates in the titles of your books that try to predict the future"
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Harry Dent poses as an economist but he is not. He also poses as a demographer but he is not either. As a consequence, he develops sweeping broadbased theories without solid scientific foundation. His main theme is that the large Baby Boom generation is going through its peak spending years during this decade, and as a result it will sustain an economic and stock market boom until 2009. He concludes that it is almost certain that the stock market will earn 10% and above returns throughout this decade.
However, when you look at the record so far, Harry Dent's prediction in 1999 for the first decade of 2000's is way off. The ink was barely dry on his book when the stock market actually peaked (first quarter of 2000) and then tanked. The stock market then suffered a three year bear market. Current outlook for the stock market is for increased volatility, but reduced growth in the single digit range (not the double digit range, Dent predicted).
Dent missed a lot of things. Some of them he could not have predicted such as heightened geopolitical risk, terrorism. Some other factors, he should have predicted. These included the overvaluation of stocks as a result of the Internet Bubble, the onset of World deflation associated with the flooding of cheap exports from China, the eventual slow down of the U.S. economy among others.
Dent also pauses as a futurist. In this role, he just repeats what Alvin Toffler stated in Future Shock almost 30 years ago. Technology will reform the workplace, will boost economic productivity, etc... Nothing new or informative here.
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1.0 out of 5 stars The Knaves and their New Economy July 26 2003
Harry Dent couples an investment advisory book with a piecemeal economic analysis of the dynamics of the so called 'New Economy' in the 21st century. The author Harry Dent may drool blissfully over his portfolio (which at the time 1998 was probably doing quite well) and see a world of compounding returns and infinite growth, but we live in a real world of scarce resources and measured productivity gains which usually grow marginally each year. One thing that I find anecdotal was the chapter on human development entitled the 'The Right Brain Revolution,' which appealed to the kooky materialism of Abraham Maslow. This was just a rehashing of tired humanistic theories over man's wants and needs.
First to give a background to this book: it was written in 1998-which in Greenspan rhetoric may be deemed a time of "irrational exuberance"-so not suprisingly the author was blissfully optimistically over a booming economy. In reality there was a long-term inflationary boom coupled with a strong market for IPO's and tech stocks. Of course, the speculative bubble burst. Contrary to the harbingers of infinite economic growth, there are no new dynamics to the so called "New Economy." If companies hemorrhage money on spending-showing no prospects for profit in their foreseeable future-than they'll probably be restructuring, going out of business, or solve their insolvency problem by merging with a larger firm. Generally, the present recession has made those who believe that there are some new rules to the game come to retreat from their Alice and Wonderland economics. Granted, we're not going to be in this recession forever contrary to the prophets of eternal economic gloom.
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By Kcorn
I can't give this one 5 stars, mainly because some of the author's "predictions" seem a bit wild and far-fetched and not grounded in hard-core statistical formulas that add up. But his general theories about the way baby boomers will age and affect the economy is valid and this book provides plenty of food for thought. I think it makes sense that many baby boomers, as Dent suggests, will have to allocate more and more of their income for health care and may also wish to downsize and spend less money as they age - or they may have no other choice but to spend less. As a firm believer that spending goes in cycles and that people of various ages spend differently, this book held a lot of information that I found useful. But if you read it with the idea that EVERY prediction is set in stone and will come true, you're better off going to a fortune teller. Take it for what it is worth, a set of theories or general ideas and trust your own instincts. When seen in this light, the book is an intriguing and even eye-opening read.
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Most recent customer reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Share market and real estate
I think the basic assumption about the impact of the baby boomers is correct, but where Harry went wrong is that he encapsulated the "message" by focusing exclusively on... Read more
Published on July 15 2004 by tony cannon
5.0 out of 5 stars What is your opinion of the economy?
It is amazing how everyone has a prediction about the economy, but few will have so many predictions come true. Start with Mr. Read more
Published on June 9 2004 by Kevin Landis
1.0 out of 5 stars A Bubble product
Dent is so out of reality here. This book is a waste of money, time.He does not have any grasp of how the markets work. Read more
Published on June 24 2003
1.0 out of 5 stars Stay Away! All of Dent's Stuff Will Bankrupt You!
As of the Oct. 9, 2002 stock market low, ALL of the market gains since 1990 have been totally wiped out! Read more
Published on Nov. 10 2002
2.0 out of 5 stars Pop goes the bubble
Even before the wild melt down that started the year this wildly optimistic book came out, it was quite possible to read Dent's model as simplistic. Read more
Published on Nov. 2 2002 by Nathaniel T. Parsons
3.0 out of 5 stars Read it, threw it out; but hope to god it's right
I am agnostic about this book and admit I am not sure if I agree or disagree, Yes, it seemed to makes sense when I read it first, but look at what has happened the the last 3 years... Read more
Published on Aug. 27 2002 by Tim Wilson
1.0 out of 5 stars Dent's crystal ball was cracked...
Good try, unfortunately he got it all wrong. This book was a big gamble. Don't waste your money or time on this hopelessly outdated book. Read more
Published on July 9 2002
4.0 out of 5 stars Got Doubts?
Got doubts about your portfolio in this market? Has your 401(k) been reduced to a 201(k)? Need a shot of confidence, of optimism? Read more
Published on July 2 2002 by Jeffrey E Ellis
1.0 out of 5 stars Dent Total Waste, Try Sy Harding's "Riding the Bear"
Unintentionally hilarious, Dent has been exposed as someone who was seemingly lucky in correctly calling the 90s bull market. Read more
Published on June 30 2002
1.0 out of 5 stars worthless
After reading this book, I felt like having been robbed of my time and money. Not only was Mr. Dent too optimistic, but rather misguiding in his advice and arguments. Read more
Published on June 24 2002
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