The Great Crash Ahead: Strategies for a World Turned Upside Down Hardcover – Sep 20 2011
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"Dent brings more very convincing analysis on the unbearable debt that is weighing down the US and world economy. But more important, he brings the unique lens of demographics to show how the Fed's stimulus plan is doomed to fail with the rising savings and slowing spending of the massive Baby Boom generation. A must read book for prospering in the inevitable debt crisis ahead."
--John Mauldin, 4 times New York Times best selling author of Endgame and financial newsletter publisher of Thoughts from the Frontline and Outside the Box
“I have watched Harry Dent's unique demographic approach to the economy and his forecasts for over 20 years. He has seen most of the key economic changes way ahead of most. In fact, he forecast the current economic crisis 20 years ago! He has spoken at many of my events around the world and has helped many prepare for the unprecedented economic challenges we are facing today. But perhaps the best thing about Harry is his very human, understandable and common sense approach to economics.”
- Anthony Robbins, Entrepreneur, Author and Peak Performance Strategist
“You can't accuse Harry Dent of being a wimpy thinker. His new book is full of confident analysis and bold predictions. Whether he will be right about all of it, who can say? But his core theme is fascinating and provocative; his book is a delight.”
--William Bonner, President and CEO of Agora Inc.; author of Dice Have No Memory and Empire of Debt
“While being one of the most bullish and accurate forecasters for 20 years, Dent has always been warning that this great boom would end around 2008-2009. He now sees a bigger crash ahead and a deflationary environment that could ravage your portfolio. His warnings and predictions are well worth reading and taking seriously.”
--David Bach, #1 New York Times bestselling author of Start Late, Finish Rich and Debt Free for Life
“The Great Crash Ahead” sounds ominous, but it doesn't have to be if you know what factors to look at when making new decisions about your career, your investments and your business model. The old remedies won't work anymore, but visionaries Harry Dent and Rodney Johnson provide their unique insight on how to make your future a prosperous one.
--Ed Slott, CPA, author, IRA expert, creator of PBS Special “Stay Rich Forever and Ever”
“Dent is the reigning expert in using sophisticated demographic models to see around the economic corner. He saw the boom of the 1990s and warned that a bust would come in 2008 forward. Now he tells us the worst is not over. Harry makes a clear and compelling case for what could be a tough time ahead.”
--Robert D. McTeer, Distinguished Fellow, National Center for Policy Analysis, and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
About the Author
Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the president of the H.S. Dent Foundation, whose mission is "Helping People Understand Change." He is the founder of HS Dent, which publishes the HS Dent Forecast and oversees the HS Dent Financial Advisors Network. He is the author of the New York Times bestseller, The Great Depression Ahead, as well as of The Great Boom Ahead, in which he stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated "boom" of the 1990s. A Harvard MBA, Fortune 100 consultant, new venture investor, and noted speaker, Mr. Dent is a highly respected figure in his field.
Rodney Johnson is the president of HS Dent, an independent economic research and investment management firm. He oversees the daily operations of the companies and is a regular contributor to the HS Forecast and the HS Dent Perspective. A graduate of Georgetown University and Southern Methodist University, Mr. Johnson is a frequent guest on radio and television programs to discuss economic changes in the United States and around the world.
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Top Customer Reviews
I do respect his refreshing contrarian perspective, but the predictions are based wildly on thin coincidences with a weak and poorly attempt to connect it to sound principles.
I would order from this supplier again.
I information in this book was extremely interesting and an eye opener
Harry S. Dent, Jr. and Rodney Johnson combine analyses of demography, prices, debt levels, deleveraging, asset bubbles, and government policies to present a strong argument in favor of major continuing deflation combined with economic weakness and higher unemployment beginning in the next three years and hanging around for some time. While governments are trying to engineer inflation without much success, it's a sobering thesis . . . and well worth studying as a way to be sure that your personal plans and financial practices will allow you to prosper should this well-documented scenario play out.
Naturally, no one can really forecast what's going to happen with prices, economic growth, and unsustainable levels of debt at a given point of time. There are just too many moving parts and too many things that can happen to intervene (such as the sovereign debt and banking solvency crisis in Europe).
Understanding risk is an essential element of gaining financial rewards. The authors provide solid, well-documented arguments for their conclusions that are well worth your time and attention.
If the book has a weakness, it's in perhaps being a little too convinced in the one scenario. If you are looking for financial advice, you may be disappointed that more attention is placed on the scenario than on identifying how specific advice might work out if the authors are wrong in any of their conclusions.
If you have been reading Mr. Dent's books, you'll probably only find the updates on debt and government policies to be relatively new.
That said; it's good to see an update of Mr. Dent's way of thinking. I enjoyed the book.
If this scenario does play out, spend more time thinking about how to go short than this book explicitly discusses. It could be one of the great short selling opportunity periods of all time.
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