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The Logic of Scientific Discovery Paperback – Feb. 21 2002
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Described by the philosopher A.J. Ayer as a work of 'great originality and power', this book revolutionized contemporary thinking on science and knowledge. Ideas such as the now legendary doctrine of 'falsificationism' electrified the scientific community, influencing even working scientists, as well as post-war philosophy. This astonishing work ranks alongside The Open Society and Its Enemies as one of Popper's most enduring books and contains insights and arguments that demand to be read to this day.
- ISBN-109780415278447
- ISBN-13978-0415278447
- Edition2
- Publication dateFeb. 21 2002
- LanguageEnglish
- Dimensions12.9 x 3.12 x 19.81 cm
- Print length544 pages
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`One of the most important documents of the twentieth century.' - Sir Peter Medawar, New Scientist
`One cannot help feeling that, if it had been translated as soon as it had been originally published, philosophy in this country might have been saved some detours. Professor Popper's thesis has that quality of greatness that, once seen, it appears simple and almost obvious' - Times Literary Supplement
'One of the most important documents of the twentieth century.' – Peter Medawar, New Scientist
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- ASIN : 0415278449
- Publisher : Routledge; 2 edition (Feb. 21 2002)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 544 pages
- ISBN-10 : 9780415278447
- ISBN-13 : 978-0415278447
- Item weight : 590 g
- Dimensions : 12.9 x 3.12 x 19.81 cm
- Best Sellers Rank: #156,081 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #4 in Food Sciences
- #28 in Logic Textbooks
- #84 in Agricultural Food Science
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There is no way to know a priori whether Popper’s falsifiability is an inherent property of the theory or a property of human capabilities. A theory can be unfalsifiable within the current state of knowledge, technology and experimental capabilities but can become falsifiable, thus scientific, with technological progress years or centuries later. We can have therefore a “conditional falsifiability” upon the condition that a gap in our knowledge will be filled at some point in the future. In our testing of the theory we should err on the safe side, that is the side that favors the theory and views falsifiability as a property of human capabilities.
This is not just stimulating reading, it is a "must read" for anyone engaged in scientific work.
Note for social scientists: the inductive reasoning of positivism continues in social science. To understand how Popper addressed that, you need to add his book "The Poverty of Historicism".
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First, Popper is often seen as advocating a skeptical way of life--the principle of falsification is made to mean that one should always try to falsify one's one own theories and worldview. There may be some support for this philosophy in the Open Society but not in the Logic of Scientific Discovery. Here, Popper is explicit that he is not proffering a philosophy of life but a methodology for science.
Another related misconception is that Popper does not contend that his logic is the way science has historically progressed. The Logic of Scientific Discovery is explicit that it is normative. It argues not how science has progressed but how it should progress. The fact that Popper was so personally authoritarian that the line among his students was that his other major work should have been called "The Open Society by One of Its Enemies" seems eerily consistent with a philosophy professor dictating to scientists how they should conduct their work.
And here is where I find the work someone dated. Popper argues against the inductivism epitomized by John Maynard Keynes but seems oblivious to the work of statisticians like Ronald Fisher. Fisher, with his method of randomized experimentation was able to show the validity of inductive causal inferences. In the 1970s statisticians like Rubin extended these inductive arguments to observational studies. Meta-analyses using Bayesian inference have also shown then value of induction. Obviously, Popper cannot be held responsible for not recognizing the Rubin causal model. His inattention to Fisher, however, is troubling since he was a contemporary.
Most social science continues to progress within the Fisher/Neyman framework along with Bayesian advances. To be honest, Popper's work in this domain can seem as passé as the inductivism of Keynes.
That the Logic is a work of genius is indubitable. I would argue, however, that falsification is not the one valid method for science. A fortiori it is not a philosophy of life all human beings must follow.








