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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Paperback – Jan 26 2010

4.2 out of 5 stars 22 customer reviews

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Product Details

  • Paperback: 288 pages
  • Publisher: Anchor; 1 Reprint edition (Jan. 26 2010)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 9780767923057
  • ISBN-13: 978-0767923057
  • ASIN: 0767923057
  • Product Dimensions: 13.1 x 2.1 x 19.6 cm
  • Shipping Weight: 272 g
  • Average Customer Review: 4.2 out of 5 stars 22 customer reviews
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: #71,654 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
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Product Description

Review

“Expect the unexpected. . . . He can see without the crystal ball.”—Newsweek

Barron’s consistently has found Stratfor’s insights informative and largely on the money—as has the company’s large client base, which ranges from corporations to media outlets and government agencies.”—Barron’s

“There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball.”—New York Times Magazine

"Predictions have made George Friedman a hot property these days." —The Wall Street Journal

About the Author

GEORGE FRIEDMAN is the founder and CEO of STRATFOR, the world’s leading private intelligence and forecasting company. He is frequently called upon as a media expert and is the author of four books, including most recently America’s Secret War, and numerous articles on national security, information warfare, computer security, and the intelligence business. He lives in Austin, Texas.

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Top Customer Reviews

Format: Paperback
If you are a fan of George Friedman, I am sure this book will not disappoint you. However, there are some glaring issues with this book:

I found the writing style to be unsophisticated; meaning it is written like a casual newspaper article. I liken his style to writing the whole book in a single sitting. He repeats himself frequently throughout the book, and sometimes even repeating incorrectly (contextually-speaking). If you are a serious bookworm, you will have noticed this issue as well. Editorially, more care should have been given..

Another gripe I can mention is the fact that some of his chapters are written like a science fiction story, most obviously the Star Wars chapter, the war among the US, Japan and Turkey. A preemptive strike from the moon, destruction of Battle Stars, launching of a secretly built Battle Star (by the USA), etc. Wildly science fiction, certainly straying from the serious tones struck elsewhere in the book.

Overall, the message in the book could have been conveyed in half the writing space. By the half-point mark, the book certainly lost my interest. File this under "Library Loaner" than "Purchase-Worthy".

Cheers!
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Format: Paperback
Author George Friedman begins his interesting adventure into global scale crystal ball gazing with the disclaimer that, of course, no one can predict with any accuracy what the next century will bring, and it's important to realize this, or you'll miss the fun of the very specific predictions that the author makes about what will transpire throughout the world in the next ten decades. He also alerts the reader that this is really a US centric book, predicated on the notion that the United States will continue to be the world's dominant nation over the next century, but in spite of this, the author does a superb job of visiting most of the regions of the world, giving the reader an excellent thumbnail sketch of how they got to where they are, and what may transpire there over the next century. (Warning to Canadian readers: Canada apparently won't do anything worthy of mention in the next century).

The predictions in this book are interesting and very detailed: everything from economics, geopolitics, specific technological advances (mainly in military weaponry), population and ethnic demographics, and even the next world war and how it will be fought. I can't underscore this point enough Friedman is very specific in describing what will precipitate the next war, how it will be fought, who the players and allies will be, and how it will be won and lost. Many of the details will surprise you.

This book's value is more in its entertainment than in its likelihood. That's not meant to denigrate the author, who is a very brilliant strategic thinker. But there are many areas in which the predictions are either unimaginative or highly unlikely.
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Format: Hardcover
No one can forecast what the weather will be next week in most parts of the world, why would anyone think that forecasting what nations will do in detail over 70 years is possible? George Friedman doesn't think it's possible either, but the exercise presents the opportunity to identify sources of potential future conflicts and alliances on the geopolitical stage. Thinking about those issues is well worth considering. An ounce of prevention may just help avoid tons of regret in some cases.

George Friedman believes that considerations of potential military defense and offense, access to needed raw materials and markets, demographics, political strengths and weaknesses, technology, and national economic interests can be combined to imagine how future leaders will see their situations and how well they will be able to handle old and new challenges vis-à-vis their neighbors and competitors. From those sources, he identifies factors that will probably be important which include:

1. Increasing importance of having access to shipping via the oceans due to ever-expanding global trade.

2. Continued U.S. dominance of the oceans.

3. Political and social weaknesses in China and Russia that will cause those nations to weaken and fragment.

4. Decline in population size in developed countries requiring pro-immigration strategies to stay competitive.

5. Emergence of space-based warfare and energy generation to shift the basis of national competition.

6. Robotics replacing less-skilled workers throughout the world creating a wave of unemployment.

7. Aggressive geographical expansions of influence by nations which are bounded by weak countries.

8.
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Format: Hardcover
I appreciate George Friedman for his geopolitical know-how and his analysis about current and past political events. When it comes to future forecast some of his predictions seem very far fetched, science fiction like. In 'Star Wars' inspired chapters, the author describes epic battles between America, Japan and Turkey(sic!), occuring in the outer space and with rocket attacks launched from the Moon, not very far ahead from today, in less than fifty years. On the other hand, the author doesn't consider global issues such as climate change, famine and world poverty important enough for the next century to be discussed in this book.
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